补货预测评估与 DMS 优化系统

补货策略模块

先导入库存快照,再确认策略参数,运行模拟后到工作台查看 SKU 级建议;SKU 详情和冻结状态从工作台里的 SKU 链接进入。

补货模拟 #1

2026-06-17 Amazon FBA 库存池滚动补货模拟

状态:completed;预测周期:30天;公式版本:triggered-small-batch-v2-pooled-pipeline;WAPE:48.8%;Bias:-5.9%

打开工作台 打开看板 返回模拟列表

2084SKU总数
271触线SKU
240缺货高风险
0滞销风险
0冻结SKU
7055建议总量

优先处理SKU

系统SKU 平台 站点 等级 DMS 当前总盘 覆盖天数 触发线 缺口 小批量 建议量 旧建议 新旧差异 触发状态 缺货风险 滞销风险 动作 计算明细
JE510990_01 Amazon-FBA UK S 5.691 19 3.3 342 323 86 323 0 +323 爆单触线 正常 优先下PR单
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{
  "formula_version": "triggered-small-batch-v2-pooled-pipeline",
  "dms_source": {
    "requested_type": "latest_best",
    "resolved_type": "latest_best",
    "backtest_run_id": 4,
    "algorithm_code": "w12_recent_strong",
    "algorithm_name": "12周强近期型",
    "wape": 0.48797874987140716,
    "bias": -0.05924434931004407
  },
  "dms_fallback": "historical_sales",
  "forecast_date": "2026-06-16",
  "baseline30": 6.2,
  "config": {
    "id": 6,
    "config_name": "222",
    "platform": "ALL",
    "market": "ALL",
    "warehouse_type": "FBA",
    "sku_grade": "S",
    "dms_source_type": "specified",
    "backtest_run_id": null,
    "algorithm_key": "w12_recent_strong",
    "lead_time_days": 45,
    "safety_stock_days": 15,
    "batch_days": 15,
    "target_cover_days": 75,
    "max_single_replenishment_qty": 0,
    "season_factor": 1,
    "include_expected_arrival": 1,
    "subtract_reserved": 1,
    "enabled": 1,
    "created_at": "2026-06-17 01:13:12",
    "updated_at": "2026-06-17 01:13:12"
  },
  "status": {},
  "source_inventory_rows": 1,
  "duplicate_stock_rows_ignored": 0,
  "product_name": "动物绘画模版 动物绘画模板64pcs",
  "channel_skus": "RQ-0LGE-R3H6",
  "markets": "UK",
  "warehouses": "ZEFAN_UK-FBA",
  "owner_name": "单程凯",
  "shipping_method": "铁运",
  "imported_avg_daily": 0.08,
  "sales_30d": 20,
  "old_suggest_qty": 0,
  "old_replenishment_qty": 0,
  "include_expected_arrival": true,
  "subtract_reserved": true,
  "supply_breakdown": {
    "fba_available": 19,
    "fba_inbound": 0,
    "fba_reserved": 0,
    "expected_arrival": 0,
    "assembling": 0,
    "planned": 0,
    "shipping": 0,
    "pipeline_counted": 0
  },
  "target_qty": 408,
  "theoretical_qty": 238,
  "capped": false,
  "capped_note": ""
}
JE659364_01 Amazon-FBA UK S 8.000 199 24.9 480 281 120 281 364 -83 爆单触线 正常 优先下PR单
展开
{
  "formula_version": "triggered-small-batch-v2-pooled-pipeline",
  "dms_source": {
    "requested_type": "latest_best",
    "resolved_type": "latest_best",
    "backtest_run_id": 4,
    "algorithm_code": "w12_recent_strong",
    "algorithm_name": "12周强近期型",
    "wape": 0.48797874987140716,
    "bias": -0.05924434931004407
  },
  "dms_fallback": "imported_avg_daily",
  "forecast_date": "2026-06-16",
  "baseline30": 8,
  "config": {
    "id": 6,
    "config_name": "222",
    "platform": "ALL",
    "market": "ALL",
    "warehouse_type": "FBA",
    "sku_grade": "S",
    "dms_source_type": "specified",
    "backtest_run_id": null,
    "algorithm_key": "w12_recent_strong",
    "lead_time_days": 45,
    "safety_stock_days": 15,
    "batch_days": 15,
    "target_cover_days": 75,
    "max_single_replenishment_qty": 0,
    "season_factor": 1,
    "include_expected_arrival": 1,
    "subtract_reserved": 1,
    "enabled": 1,
    "created_at": "2026-06-17 01:13:12",
    "updated_at": "2026-06-17 01:13:12"
  },
  "status": {},
  "source_inventory_rows": 1,
  "duplicate_stock_rows_ignored": 0,
  "product_name": "6pcs棕色强力自粘皮革床头沙发座椅修复贴 6pcs浅棕色强力自粘皮革",
  "channel_skus": "JE659364_01-UK",
  "markets": "UK",
  "warehouses": "fengxuanwl_uk-FBA",
  "owner_name": "单程凯",
  "shipping_method": "卡航",
  "imported_avg_daily": 8,
  "sales_30d": 13,
  "old_suggest_qty": 364,
  "old_replenishment_qty": 364,
  "include_expected_arrival": true,
  "subtract_reserved": true,
  "supply_breakdown": {
    "fba_available": 0,
    "fba_inbound": 199,
    "fba_reserved": 0,
    "expected_arrival": 0,
    "assembling": 0,
    "planned": 0,
    "shipping": 0,
    "pipeline_counted": 0
  },
  "target_qty": 401,
  "theoretical_qty": 161,
  "capped": false,
  "capped_note": ""
}
EJ354566_01 Amazon-FBA UK S 3.384 0 0.0 204 204 51 204 0 +204 爆单触线 正常 优先下PR单
展开
{
  "formula_version": "triggered-small-batch-v2-pooled-pipeline",
  "dms_source": {
    "requested_type": "latest_best",
    "resolved_type": "latest_best",
    "backtest_run_id": 4,
    "algorithm_code": "w12_recent_strong",
    "algorithm_name": "12周强近期型",
    "wape": 0.48797874987140716,
    "bias": -0.05924434931004407
  },
  "dms_fallback": "historical_sales",
  "forecast_date": "2026-06-16",
  "baseline30": 3.1333333333333333,
  "config": {
    "id": 6,
    "config_name": "222",
    "platform": "ALL",
    "market": "ALL",
    "warehouse_type": "FBA",
    "sku_grade": "S",
    "dms_source_type": "specified",
    "backtest_run_id": null,
    "algorithm_key": "w12_recent_strong",
    "lead_time_days": 45,
    "safety_stock_days": 15,
    "batch_days": 15,
    "target_cover_days": 75,
    "max_single_replenishment_qty": 0,
    "season_factor": 1,
    "include_expected_arrival": 1,
    "subtract_reserved": 1,
    "enabled": 1,
    "created_at": "2026-06-17 01:13:12",
    "updated_at": "2026-06-17 01:13:12"
  },
  "status": {},
  "source_inventory_rows": 1,
  "duplicate_stock_rows_ignored": 0,
  "product_name": "户外蝴蝶球灯户外庭院装饰灯太阳能灯 白光",
  "channel_skus": "FAB-EJ354566_01",
  "markets": "UK",
  "warehouses": "gewei_UK-FBA",
  "owner_name": "陈康1",
  "shipping_method": "铁运",
  "imported_avg_daily": 3.787,
  "sales_30d": 100,
  "old_suggest_qty": 0,
  "old_replenishment_qty": 0,
  "include_expected_arrival": true,
  "subtract_reserved": true,
  "supply_breakdown": {
    "fba_available": 127,
    "fba_inbound": 0,
    "fba_reserved": 380,
    "expected_arrival": 0,
    "assembling": 0,
    "planned": 0,
    "shipping": 0,
    "pipeline_counted": 0
  },
  "target_qty": 254,
  "theoretical_qty": 153,
  "capped": false,
  "capped_note": ""
}
IF609909_01 Amazon-FBA UK S 2.450 0 0.0 147 147 37 147 340 -193 爆单触线 正常 优先下PR单
展开
{
  "formula_version": "triggered-small-batch-v2-pooled-pipeline",
  "dms_source": {
    "requested_type": "latest_best",
    "resolved_type": "latest_best",
    "backtest_run_id": 4,
    "algorithm_code": "w12_recent_strong",
    "algorithm_name": "12周强近期型",
    "wape": 0.48797874987140716,
    "bias": -0.05924434931004407
  },
  "dms_fallback": "historical_sales",
  "forecast_date": "2026-06-16",
  "baseline30": 2.1666666666666665,
  "config": {
    "id": 6,
    "config_name": "222",
    "platform": "ALL",
    "market": "ALL",
    "warehouse_type": "FBA",
    "sku_grade": "S",
    "dms_source_type": "specified",
    "backtest_run_id": null,
    "algorithm_key": "w12_recent_strong",
    "lead_time_days": 45,
    "safety_stock_days": 15,
    "batch_days": 15,
    "target_cover_days": 75,
    "max_single_replenishment_qty": 0,
    "season_factor": 1,
    "include_expected_arrival": 1,
    "subtract_reserved": 1,
    "enabled": 1,
    "created_at": "2026-06-17 01:13:12",
    "updated_at": "2026-06-17 01:13:12"
  },
  "status": {},
  "source_inventory_rows": 1,
  "duplicate_stock_rows_ignored": 0,
  "product_name": "4pcs 4cm中号木质骰子点数实木筛子彩色圆角色子玩具戏棋道具 4pcs 4cm中号木质骰子点数实木筛子彩色圆角色子玩具戏棋道具",
  "channel_skus": "IF609909_01-UK",
  "markets": "UK",
  "warehouses": "coemao_UK-FBA",
  "owner_name": "黄婷1",
  "shipping_method": "铁运",
  "imported_avg_daily": 5,
  "sales_30d": 64,
  "old_suggest_qty": 340,
  "old_replenishment_qty": 340,
  "include_expected_arrival": true,
  "subtract_reserved": true,
  "supply_breakdown": {
    "fba_available": 0,
    "fba_inbound": 0,
    "fba_reserved": 0,
    "expected_arrival": 0,
    "assembling": 0,
    "planned": 0,
    "shipping": 0,
    "pipeline_counted": 0
  },
  "target_qty": 184,
  "theoretical_qty": 111,
  "capped": false,
  "capped_note": ""
}
NM569891_01 Amazon-FBA DE A 1.799 0 0.0 108 108 27 108 233 -125 爆单触线 正常 优先下PR单
展开
{
  "formula_version": "triggered-small-batch-v2-pooled-pipeline",
  "dms_source": {
    "requested_type": "latest_best",
    "resolved_type": "latest_best",
    "backtest_run_id": 4,
    "algorithm_code": "w12_recent_strong",
    "algorithm_name": "12周强近期型",
    "wape": 0.48797874987140716,
    "bias": -0.05924434931004407
  },
  "dms_fallback": "historical_sales",
  "forecast_date": "2026-06-16",
  "baseline30": 2.7333333333333334,
  "config": {
    "id": 2,
    "config_name": "默认-A级滚动小批量",
    "platform": "ALL",
    "market": "ALL",
    "warehouse_type": "ALL",
    "sku_grade": "A",
    "dms_source_type": "latest_best",
    "backtest_run_id": null,
    "algorithm_key": null,
    "lead_time_days": 45,
    "safety_stock_days": 15,
    "batch_days": 15,
    "target_cover_days": 75,
    "max_single_replenishment_qty": 0,
    "season_factor": 1,
    "include_expected_arrival": 1,
    "subtract_reserved": 1,
    "enabled": 1,
    "created_at": "2026-06-16 13:54:00",
    "updated_at": "2026-06-17 03:39:57"
  },
  "status": {},
  "source_inventory_rows": 1,
  "duplicate_stock_rows_ignored": 0,
  "product_name": "25pcs M8 60MM梅花带六角双头牙银色螺丝 25pcs M8 60MM梅花带六角双头牙银色螺丝",
  "channel_skus": "NM569891_01-DE",
  "markets": "DE",
  "warehouses": "xifjwti_de-FBA",
  "owner_name": "王勋",
  "shipping_method": "铁运",
  "imported_avg_daily": 3.179,
  "sales_30d": 91,
  "old_suggest_qty": 233,
  "old_replenishment_qty": 233,
  "include_expected_arrival": true,
  "subtract_reserved": true,
  "supply_breakdown": {
    "fba_available": 0,
    "fba_inbound": 0,
    "fba_reserved": 1,
    "expected_arrival": 0,
    "assembling": 0,
    "planned": 0,
    "shipping": 0,
    "pipeline_counted": 0
  },
  "target_qty": 135,
  "theoretical_qty": 81,
  "capped": false,
  "capped_note": ""
}
HT546845_01 Amazon-FBA ALL S 2.349 34 14.5 141 107 36 107 153 -46 爆单触线 正常 优先下PR单
展开
{
  "formula_version": "triggered-small-batch-v2-pooled-pipeline",
  "dms_source": {
    "requested_type": "latest_best",
    "resolved_type": "latest_best",
    "backtest_run_id": 4,
    "algorithm_code": "w12_recent_strong",
    "algorithm_name": "12周强近期型",
    "wape": 0.48797874987140716,
    "bias": -0.05924434931004407
  },
  "dms_fallback": "historical_sales",
  "forecast_date": "2026-06-16",
  "baseline30": 1.9,
  "config": {
    "id": 6,
    "config_name": "222",
    "platform": "ALL",
    "market": "ALL",
    "warehouse_type": "FBA",
    "sku_grade": "S",
    "dms_source_type": "specified",
    "backtest_run_id": null,
    "algorithm_key": "w12_recent_strong",
    "lead_time_days": 45,
    "safety_stock_days": 15,
    "batch_days": 15,
    "target_cover_days": 75,
    "max_single_replenishment_qty": 0,
    "season_factor": 1,
    "include_expected_arrival": 1,
    "subtract_reserved": 1,
    "enabled": 1,
    "created_at": "2026-06-17 01:13:12",
    "updated_at": "2026-06-17 01:13:12"
  },
  "status": {},
  "source_inventory_rows": 2,
  "duplicate_stock_rows_ignored": 0,
  "product_name": "12个礼品袋+12贴纸新品工程车主题施工季派对用品卡通纸袋 12个礼品袋+12贴纸新品工程车主题施工季派对用品卡通纸袋",
  "channel_skus": "HT546845_01-UK+HT546845_01-DE-2",
  "markets": "DE+UK",
  "warehouses": "fengxuanwl_uk-FBA+fengxuanwl_de-FBA",
  "owner_name": "单程凯",
  "shipping_method": "铁运",
  "imported_avg_daily": 2.083,
  "sales_30d": 56,
  "old_suggest_qty": 153,
  "old_replenishment_qty": 153,
  "include_expected_arrival": true,
  "subtract_reserved": true,
  "supply_breakdown": {
    "fba_available": 35,
    "fba_inbound": 0,
    "fba_reserved": 1,
    "expected_arrival": 0,
    "assembling": 0,
    "planned": 0,
    "shipping": 0,
    "pipeline_counted": 0
  },
  "target_qty": 143,
  "theoretical_qty": 73,
  "capped": false,
  "capped_note": ""
}
HJ616259_01 Amazon-FBA DE A 1.841 8 4.3 111 103 28 103 198 -95 爆单触线 正常 优先下PR单
展开
{
  "formula_version": "triggered-small-batch-v2-pooled-pipeline",
  "dms_source": {
    "requested_type": "latest_best",
    "resolved_type": "latest_best",
    "backtest_run_id": 4,
    "algorithm_code": "w12_recent_strong",
    "algorithm_name": "12周强近期型",
    "wape": 0.48797874987140716,
    "bias": -0.05924434931004407
  },
  "dms_fallback": "historical_sales",
  "forecast_date": "2026-06-16",
  "baseline30": 2.933333333333333,
  "config": {
    "id": 2,
    "config_name": "默认-A级滚动小批量",
    "platform": "ALL",
    "market": "ALL",
    "warehouse_type": "ALL",
    "sku_grade": "A",
    "dms_source_type": "latest_best",
    "backtest_run_id": null,
    "algorithm_key": null,
    "lead_time_days": 45,
    "safety_stock_days": 15,
    "batch_days": 15,
    "target_cover_days": 75,
    "max_single_replenishment_qty": 0,
    "season_factor": 1,
    "include_expected_arrival": 1,
    "subtract_reserved": 1,
    "enabled": 1,
    "created_at": "2026-06-16 13:54:00",
    "updated_at": "2026-06-17 03:39:57"
  },
  "status": {},
  "source_inventory_rows": 1,
  "duplicate_stock_rows_ignored": 0,
  "product_name": "超大购物袋赠送一个小型手机包,可重复使用的杂货袋可折叠的站立式实用购物袋适用于存储、野餐、海滩、游泳池、洗衣、汽车、露营 收纳袋  杂货袋",
  "channel_skus": "HJ616259_01-DE",
  "markets": "DE",
  "warehouses": "Zheyan_DE-FBA",
  "owner_name": "陈康1",
  "shipping_method": "铁运",
  "imported_avg_daily": 2.71,
  "sales_30d": 88,
  "old_suggest_qty": 198,
  "old_replenishment_qty": 198,
  "include_expected_arrival": true,
  "subtract_reserved": true,
  "supply_breakdown": {
    "fba_available": 12,
    "fba_inbound": 0,
    "fba_reserved": 4,
    "expected_arrival": 0,
    "assembling": 0,
    "planned": 0,
    "shipping": 0,
    "pipeline_counted": 0
  },
  "target_qty": 131,
  "theoretical_qty": 76,
  "capped": false,
  "capped_note": ""
}
HI639052_01 Amazon-FBA UK A 1.623 0 0.0 98 98 25 98 150 -52 爆单触线 正常 优先下PR单
展开
{
  "formula_version": "triggered-small-batch-v2-pooled-pipeline",
  "dms_source": {
    "requested_type": "latest_best",
    "resolved_type": "latest_best",
    "backtest_run_id": 4,
    "algorithm_code": "w12_recent_strong",
    "algorithm_name": "12周强近期型",
    "wape": 0.48797874987140716,
    "bias": -0.05924434931004407
  },
  "dms_fallback": "historical_sales",
  "forecast_date": "2026-06-16",
  "baseline30": 1.9,
  "config": {
    "id": 2,
    "config_name": "默认-A级滚动小批量",
    "platform": "ALL",
    "market": "ALL",
    "warehouse_type": "ALL",
    "sku_grade": "A",
    "dms_source_type": "latest_best",
    "backtest_run_id": null,
    "algorithm_key": null,
    "lead_time_days": 45,
    "safety_stock_days": 15,
    "batch_days": 15,
    "target_cover_days": 75,
    "max_single_replenishment_qty": 0,
    "season_factor": 1,
    "include_expected_arrival": 1,
    "subtract_reserved": 1,
    "enabled": 1,
    "created_at": "2026-06-16 13:54:00",
    "updated_at": "2026-06-17 03:39:57"
  },
  "status": {},
  "source_inventory_rows": 1,
  "duplicate_stock_rows_ignored": 0,
  "product_name": "17*17cm 黑色 相册+5mm8米 双面胶+彩虹六色相册角贴+金银白色相册角贴+12色水彩笔 17*17cm 黑色 相册+5mm8米 双面胶+彩虹六色相册角贴+金银白色相册角贴+12色水彩笔",
  "channel_skus": "HI639052_01-UK",
  "markets": "UK",
  "warehouses": "fengxuanwl_uk-FBA",
  "owner_name": "单程凯",
  "shipping_method": "海运",
  "imported_avg_daily": 1.607,
  "sales_30d": 57,
  "old_suggest_qty": 150,
  "old_replenishment_qty": 150,
  "include_expected_arrival": true,
  "subtract_reserved": true,
  "supply_breakdown": {
    "fba_available": 0,
    "fba_inbound": 0,
    "fba_reserved": 2,
    "expected_arrival": 0,
    "assembling": 0,
    "planned": 0,
    "shipping": 0,
    "pipeline_counted": 0
  },
  "target_qty": 122,
  "theoretical_qty": 74,
  "capped": false,
  "capped_note": ""
}
JE647441_01 Amazon-FBA DE A 1.502 0 0.0 91 91 23 91 0 +91 爆单触线 正常 优先下PR单
展开
{
  "formula_version": "triggered-small-batch-v2-pooled-pipeline",
  "dms_source": {
    "requested_type": "latest_best",
    "resolved_type": "latest_best",
    "backtest_run_id": 4,
    "algorithm_code": "w12_recent_strong",
    "algorithm_name": "12周强近期型",
    "wape": 0.48797874987140716,
    "bias": -0.05924434931004407
  },
  "dms_fallback": "imported_avg_daily",
  "forecast_date": "2026-06-16",
  "baseline30": 1.502,
  "config": {
    "id": 2,
    "config_name": "默认-A级滚动小批量",
    "platform": "ALL",
    "market": "ALL",
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MZ505074_01 Amazon-FBA UK A 1.467 0 0.0 89 89 23 89 29 +60 爆单触线 正常 优先下PR单
展开
{
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IA565815_01 Amazon-FBA UK A 1.423 0 0.0 86 86 22 86 293 -207 爆单触线 正常 优先下PR单
展开
{
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MZ515157_02 Amazon-FBA DE A 1.426 0 0.0 86 86 22 86 216 -130 爆单触线 正常 优先下PR单
展开
{
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SJ553001_01 Amazon-FBA DE A 1.393 0 0.0 84 84 21 84 230 -146 爆单触线 正常 优先下PR单
展开
{
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PE11606 Amazon-FBA ALL A 1.434 4 2.8 87 83 22 83 64 +19 爆单触线 正常 优先下PR单
展开
{
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IF541575_01 Amazon-FBA ALL A 1.669 20 12.0 101 81 26 81 356 -275 爆单触线 正常 优先下PR单
展开
{
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  "product_name": "48PCS  12款蝴蝶刮刮画(48个彩带+24支竹笔)刮花儿童玩具卡通炫彩异形刮画儿童diy涂鸦刮画纸彩色手工水彩画 蝴蝶刮刮画",
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  "warehouses": "perzsjvn_UK-FBA+perzsjvn_DE-FBA",
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ZBD606183_01 Amazon-FBA DE A 1.364 1 0.7 82 81 21 81 0 +81 爆单触线 正常 优先下PR单
展开
{
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  "product_name": "18pcs解压玩具爬墙花慢回弹TPR粘性小刺球 解压玩具粘性小刺球",
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ET536344_01 Amazon-FBA UK A 1.270 0 0.0 77 77 20 77 202 -125 爆单触线 正常 优先下PR单
展开
{
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  "status": {},
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  "product_name": "30pcs潜水戏水玩具 鱼雷儿童游泳池训练潜水鱼雷儿童玩具套装 潜水玩具套装",
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  "owner_name": "陈康1",
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CW659166_01 Amazon-FBA UK A 1.361 6 4.4 82 76 21 76 0 +76 爆单触线 正常 优先下PR单
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{
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  "product_name": "2pcs手提饭盒包便携式保温便当包加厚铝箔防水保温袋户外野餐包袋 2pcs手提饭盒包便携式保温便当包加厚铝箔防水保温袋户外野餐包袋",
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CW620316_01 Amazon-FBA DE A 1.227 0 0.0 74 74 19 74 256 -182 爆单触线 正常 优先下PR单
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{
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  "status": {},
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  "product_name": "2pcs西瓜切不锈钢切瓜水果夹挖块多功能水果分割器套装 2pcs西瓜切不锈钢切瓜水果夹挖块多功能水果分割器套装",
  "channel_skus": "CW620316_01-DE",
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  "owner_name": "张森",
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}
HI647285_01 Amazon-FBA UK A 1.650 28 17.0 100 72 25 72 0 +72 爆单触线 正常 优先下PR单
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{
  "formula_version": "triggered-small-batch-v2-pooled-pipeline",
  "dms_source": {
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  "config": {
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    "config_name": "默认-A级滚动小批量",
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  },
  "status": {},
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  "product_name": "2026年英语创意简约台历18个月365日倒计时每月规划跨境记事日历 英语创意简约台历",
  "channel_skus": "HI647285_01-UK",
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  "owner_name": "陈康1",
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  "imported_avg_daily": 2.856,
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}